Test 4 – Does this 30% probability show up in 70%?

Created by savolver on 2016-11-12; known on 2016-11-12; judged wrong by savolver on 2016-11-12.

• savolver estimated 30% on 2016-11-12
• savolver   judged this prediction right on 2016-11-12.
• savolver   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-12.