The Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) will open its station in Warm Springs/South Fremont before January 1, 2017.

Created by Vipul Naik on 2016-11-13; known on 2017-01-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-01-01.

• Vipul Naik estimated 30% on 2016-11-13
• Vipul Naik said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warm_Springs/South_Fremont_station for history. Opening schedule has been pushed back regularly since 2014. Major hope for Fall 2016 was “October surprise” but that can’t happen any more.” on 2016-11-13
• Vipul Naik estimated 25% and said “Hasn’t happened so far, and no news of it happening in the next week.” on 2016-11-23
• Vipul Naik estimated 20% and said “Further downgrading chances since no announcements so far.” on 2016-12-06
• Vipul Naik estimated 15% and said “Seems fairly unlikely now since there’s only 1.5 weeks before the Christmas/New Year week.” on 2016-12-14
• Vipul Naik estimated 7% and said “See http://www.eastbaytimes.com/2016/12/10/bart-says-warm-springssouth-fremont-wont-open-until-winter-2017/” on 2016-12-18
• Vipul Naik estimated 0% and said “Needs 3 to 4 weeks of simulation testing, not yet started. http://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/BART-extension-to-Warm-Springs-Station-moving-in-10812196.php” on 2016-12-25
• Vipul Naik   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.