Legitimate 512 GB USB flash drives will be available on Amazon from at least two different reputable sellers for less than $100 per drive by January 1, 2018.
Created by Vipul Naik on 2016-11-13; known on 2018-01-03; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2018-01-03.
- Vipul Naik estimated 25% on 2016-11-13
- Vipul Naik on 2016-11-13
- Vipul Naik changed the deadline from “on 2018-01-02” and changed their prediction from “512 GB USB flash drives will be available on Amazon from at least two different sellers for less than $100 by January 1, 2018.” on 2016-11-13
- themusicgod1 estimated 48% on 2016-11-13
- PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2016-11-15
- leo_grint estimated 58% on 2016-11-19
- Vipul Naik changed the deadline from “on 2018-01-03” and changed their prediction from “Legitimate 512 GB USB flash drives will be available on Amazon from at least two different sellers for less than $100 per drive by January 1, 2018.” on 2017-01-22
- Vipul Naik said ““Legitimate” and “reputable” will be determined by me based on ratings and seller reputation. e.g. https://www.amazon.com/512GB-Metal-Swivel-Memory-Storage/dp/B01N1WOVC6 does not qualify.” on 2017-01-22
- ioannes estimated 40% and said “Getting close! https://www.amazon.com/SanDisk-Ultra-256GB-Flash-SDCZ48-256G-U46/dp/B00YFI1A66/” on 2017-02-09
- KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 45% on 2017-03-06
- themusicgod1 said “https://www.amazon.com/Kingston-Digital-HyperX-512GB-HXS3/dp/B01A8I92Q6/ref=sr_1_1?s=pc&ie=UTF8&qid=1502321418&sr=1-1&refinements=p_n_size_browse-bin%3A10285020011 looking close. 1-2 price halfing left. ” on 2017-08-09
- PseudonymousUser estimated 30% on 2017-08-23
- PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2017-08-23
- PseudonymousUser said “doesn’t look like it” on 2018-01-03
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-03.