As of January 1, 2017, Fifth Harmony's “Work from Home” will be the only YouTube video released in 2016 that has over a billion views.

Created by Vipul Naik on 2016-11-13; known on 2017-01-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2016-11-30.

• Vipul Naik estimated 90% on 2016-11-13
• Vipul Naik said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most_viewed_YouTube_videoshttp://blogs.wsj.com/speakeasy/2016/06/30/the-10-most-popular-music-videos-of-2016-so-far-according-to-youtube/https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLirAqAtl_h2r5g8xGajEwdXd3x1sZh8hC” on 2016-11-13
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-11-13
• Vipul Naik estimated 92% and said “Increasing probability slightly as leading challenger looks increasingly improbable.” on 2016-11-19
• Vipul Naik estimated 93% and said “At this point, you’d need one of the challengers (Nicky Jam or Rihanna) to really ramp it up as if they were brand new releases.” on 2016-11-22
• Vipul Naik estimated 1% and said “Apparently I missed this video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kOkQ4T5WO9E when looking at the list of top videos” on 2016-11-26
• Vipul Naik   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-30.
• Vipul Naik   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-30.