Total US hate crimes incidents (see comment) will not be more than 125% at any year during Trump presidency.
Created by splorridge on 2016-11-17; known 1 day ago
- splorridge estimated 70% on 2016-11-17
- splorridge said “Hate crime statistics as measured here: https://ucr.fbi.gov/hate-crime/2015/tables-and-data-declarations/1tabledatadecpdf” on 2016-11-17
- splorridge said “Prediction conditional on similar reporting methodology.” on 2016-11-17
- splorridge said “Idea for prediction (but not probability) stolen from SSC.” on 2016-11-17
- themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2016-11-17
- leo_grint estimated 72% on 2016-11-22
- aspire43 said “It seems like the site only has 3 years of data for Trump and nothing for 2020 at this point. Even so, 2019 numbers, taken naively, appear to have barely falsified this prediction.” about 20 hours ago
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