Gay marriage will remain legal throughout a Trump presidency.

Created by splorridge on 2016-11-17; known on 2021-01-20

  • splorridge estimated 96% on 2016-11-17
  • splorridge said “Idea for prediction (but not probability) stolen from SSC.on 2016-11-17
  • themusicgod1 estimated 81% on 2016-11-17
  • leo_grint estimated 94% on 2016-11-18
  • two2thehead estimated 95% and said “Five percent hedge.on 2016-11-18
  • trishume estimated 95% on 2016-11-18
  • pkfalu92 estimated 95% on 2016-11-19
  • bendini estimated 95% on 2016-11-20
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% and said “Legal in all states or just some?on 2016-11-25
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 95% and said “Damnit, meant 95, not 9.on 2016-11-25
  • EloiseRosen estimated 96% on 2016-11-26
  • Dapple estimated 89% and said “I’m assuming if at least one state becomes legally capable of doing so (Obergefell v Hodges verdict overridden), and then does so, this prediction will close as wrong. I’m highly confident that the SCOTUS is the ONLY obstacle albeit a strong one.on 2016-11-28
  • Temeraire estimated 88% on 2016-11-30
  • splorridge said “Dapple’s assumption is correct. Sorry for not making the wording clearer.on 2016-11-30
  • JoshuaZ estimated 88% on 2016-12-01
  • penten estimated 95% on 2016-12-01
  • RainbowSpacedancer estimated 92% on 2016-12-04
  • JoshuaZ estimated 91% on 2017-11-27

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