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The total hate crime incidents as measured by the FBI's Uniform Crime Report will be no more than 125% of their 2015 value at any year during a Trump presidency, conditional on similar reporting methodology.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2016-11-18; known on 2021-01-02

  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 70% on 2016-11-18
  • Jayson Virissimo changed the deadline from “on 2021-01-01” and changed their prediction from “The total hate crimes incidents as measured by the FBI's Uniform Crime Report will be no more than 125% of their 2015 value at any year during a Trump presidency, conditional on similar reporting methodology.” on 2016-11-18
  • splorridge said “See also: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/180293” on 2016-11-18
  • leo_grint estimated 62% on 2016-11-18
  • trishume estimated 50% on 2016-11-18
  • EloiseRosen estimated 70% on 2016-11-26
  • Dapple estimated 31% on 2016-11-28