As of January 1, 2017, there will be at least 40 YouTube videos with over a billion views as measured by YouTube.

Created by Vipul Naik on 2016-11-26; known on 2017-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2016-12-07.

• Vipul Naik estimated 95% on 2016-11-26
• Vipul Naik estimated 96% and said “36 videos are at a billion, four videos are now at 996 million. We have 33 days to go, so even with very conservative growth estimates we’ll get there.” on 2016-11-29
• Vipul Naik estimated 99% and said “37 have hit it and three seem likely to hit in a week” on 2016-11-30
• Vipul Naik estimated 100% and said “39 have hit and the last one has less than a million to go; should hit it in 2 or 3 days.” on 2016-12-05
• Vipul Naik   judged this prediction right on 2016-12-07.