As of January 1, 2017, there will be fewer than 50 YouTube videos with over a billion views as measured by YouTube.

Created by Vipul Naik on 2016-11-26; known on 2017-01-02; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-01-02.

• Vipul Naik estimated 90% on 2016-11-26
• Vipul Naik estimated 93% and said “Currently, #50 is at 922 million. And #48 is at 939 million. So very unlikely to close gap.” on 2016-12-18
• Vipul Naik estimated 96% and said “Currently 44 are at over a billion, and 1 more looks like a candidate for getting there by January 1.” on 2016-12-28
• Vipul Naik said “There are 44.” on 2017-01-02
• Vipul Naik   judged this prediction right on 2017-01-02.