Lab-grown meat on sale at 20 times the price of animal-grown meat or cheaper.

Created by penten on 2016-12-01; known on 2021-12-01; judged wrong by God on 2022-05-01.

• penten estimated 30% on 2016-12-01
• penten said “MosaMeat discussed 30usd/lbs at http://www.takepart.com/feature/2016/05/23/cultured-beef (expect to begin selling within 5 years).” on 2016-12-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 65% on 2016-12-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 38% on 2016-12-01
• RainbowSpacedancer estimated 75% on 2016-12-02
• Ben Doherty estimated 70% on 2016-12-13
• playablecharacter estimated 66% on 2017-01-02
• JesseClifton estimated 80% on 2017-01-28
• Michael Dickens estimated 70% on 2017-02-16
• JasperGeh estimated 80% on 2017-05-12
• Michael Dickens estimated 85% and said “Updating in favor of this happening due to recent events. Currently four companies (?) claim that they are going to do this, only one of them needs to succeed. Two claim they’re coming out <=2019 which leaves a wide margin of error.” on 2017-07-11
• Pablo estimated 76% on 2017-08-25
• Michael Dickens estimated 87% on 2017-10-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 42% and said “Updating. Cheaper seems likely, but 20 times cheaper still seems very unlikely. ” on 2017-11-27
• Michael Dickens said “JoshuaZ, it sounds like you misunderstood the question. Prediction is for 20 times more expensive than animal-grown meat, not 20 times cheaper.” on 2017-12-20
• rk estimated 85% on 2018-10-06
• NickN estimated 1% on 2020-08-16
• God estimated 0% on 2022-05-01
• God   judged this prediction wrong on 2022-05-01.