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I will be accepted into a top 10 Economics PHD program in the following decade.

Created by Tuxedage on 2013-05-08; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by Tuxedage on 2021-11-02.

  • Tuxedage estimated 40% on 2013-05-08
  • Tuxedage changed the deadline from “on 2013-05-09” on 2013-05-08
  • Tuxedage said “Top 10 defined by any reputable University ranking system. For example: http://www.usnews.com/education/worlds-best-universities-rankings/best-universities-economics-and-econometrics” on 2013-05-08
  • atroche estimated 5% and said “There are lot of University ranking systems. Which ones are “reputable”? And do you mean ones in the top 10 now, or at any time over the following decade?Because this could be a huge number of universities.” on 2013-05-30
  • Tuxedage said “Top ten when applying.” on 2013-06-02
  • atroche said “I think you should pick one ranking system to make this easier to judge (there could be arguments over what counts as a reputable ranking system).” on 2013-11-13
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 15% on 2013-11-14
  • Tuxedage   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-11-02.