Climate research (global warming) will have a replication crisis

Created by hedges on 2016-12-09; known on 2026-12-10

• hedges estimated 10% on 2016-12-09
• hedges changed the deadline from “on 2026-12-09” and made the prediction on 2016-12-09
• hedges said “Let’s say over 30% of some sample of studies are shown to have meaningful errors or fail replication within the next 10 years” on 2016-12-09
• themusicgod1 estimated 8% on 2016-12-09
• Ben Doherty estimated 5% on 2016-12-13
• Bruno Parga said “Isn’t world average temperature a better proxy for this?” on 2016-12-31