Terrorist Attack in US with >12 deaths or new US version of Falklands War (ie not war with Russia, China, EU but 'smaller country')

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-12-19; known on 2017-01-31; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-31.

• themusicgod1 estimated 10% on 2016-12-19
• themusicgod1 said “related: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/180574” on 2016-12-19
• two2thehead estimated 10% and said “Let’s be conservative.” on 2016-12-19
• tbrmaster estimated 15% on 2016-12-29
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-31.