There will be no war involving more than one of the US, Russia, China, or any member of the EU on different sides started in 2017 (Measure: Total eventual casualties above 100) 

Created by davidmanheim on 2017-01-03; known on 2018-01-01; judged right by davidmanheim on 2020-11-01.

• davidmanheim estimated 98% on 2017-01-03
• themusicgod1 estimated 20% on 2017-01-03
• lukas11 estimated 90% and said “Direct war, I exclude supporting other conflicts ” on 2017-01-12
• davidmanheim   judged this prediction right on 2020-11-01.