By the end of 2020, gwern will write a new article for the English Wikipedia and Vipul Naik will pay for the work https://contractwork.vipulnaik.com/

Created by Issa Rice on 2017-01-03; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Issa Rice on 2021-01-01.

• Issa Rice estimated 10% on 2017-01-03
• playablecharacter estimated 21% on 2017-01-03
• ioannes said “Why the long time horizon?” on 2017-01-27
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2017-12-14
• Issa Rice estimated 2% and said “Vipul is no longer paying for new work on Wikipedia” on 2018-01-01
• Issa Rice   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.