By the end of 2020, gwern will write a new article for the English Wikipedia and Vipul Naik will pay for the work

Created by Issa Rice on 2017-01-03; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Issa Rice on 2021-01-01.

  • Issa Rice estimated 10% on 2017-01-03
  • playablecharacter estimated 21% on 2017-01-03
  • ioannes said “Why the long time horizon?on 2017-01-27
  • Baeboo estimated 0% on 2017-12-14
  • Issa Rice estimated 2% and said “Vipul is no longer paying for new work on Wikipediaon 2018-01-01
  • Issa Rice   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.

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