There will be a major bug found and exploited in Lightning Networks / Segwit during 2017 (Conditional on deployment before June)

Created by davidmanheim on 2017-01-04; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by davidmanheim on 2018-01-03.

• davidmanheim estimated 60% on 2017-01-04
• themusicgod1 estimated 20% on 2017-01-07
• themusicgod1 said “can you operationalize ‘major bug’?” on 2017-01-07
• davidmanheim   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-03.