By 2030 there will be fewer than 1,600,000 people employed as Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers (occupation code 53-3032) in the US as defined by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Created by pkfalu92 on 2017-01-06; known on 2030-01-16

  • pkfalu92 estimated 90% on 2017-01-06
  • penten estimated 65% and said “now: 1.2% (1,678,280/137,896,660)if US pop grows 11% by 2030 but % does not change, ~1,860k in 2030. So we need ~14% decrease, or 260k jobs. Truck production looks high enough, some can be converted? Utiilisation prob > than currently. Plausableon 2017-01-06
  • playablecharacter estimated 75% on 2017-01-06
  • two2thehead estimated 90% on 2017-01-06
  • themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2017-01-06
  • davidmanheim estimated 95% and said “Happens if: -Self-driving trucks.-More widespread deployment of semi-autonomous automatic truck caravanning.-Robotic delivery (drone, etc.) starts getting widespread, even without self-driving trucks.All are likely.on 2017-01-09

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction