Situation in Israel looks more worse than better at the end of 2017

Created by davidmanheim on 2017-01-10; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by playablecharacter on 2018-01-11.

• davidmanheim estimated 85% on 2017-01-10
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2017-01-10
• splorridge estimated 70% and said “Bit subjective. Will we be going with your assessment of the situation or Scott’s?” on 2017-01-10
• two2thehead said “what splorridge said” on 2017-01-10
• playablecharacter said “this is dumb” on 2017-01-10
• splorridge said “Assuming David used this for inspiration, and assuming he doesn’t disagree: http://slatestarcodex.com/2018/01/02/2017-predictions-calibration-results/” on 2018-01-11
• splorridge   judged this prediction right on 2018-01-11.
• playablecharacter   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-11.