Marine Le Pen is not elected President of France, conditional on her running

Created by davidmanheim on 2017-01-10; known on 2017-05-01; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-05-07.

  • davidmanheim estimated 50% on 2017-01-10
  • themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2017-01-10
  • themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2017-01-10
  • splorridge estimated 53% on 2017-01-10
  • two2thehead said “Posting here to remind myself to predict later.on 2017-01-10
  • two2thehead estimated 51% and said “Let’s be very conservative.on 2017-01-16
  • pent estimated 80% on 2017-04-23
  • pent estimated 20% and said “whoops missed the noton 2017-04-23
  • pent estimated 89% on 2017-04-24
  • two2thehead estimated 55% on 2017-04-25
  • danielfilan estimated 90% on 2017-04-25
  • pent estimated 79% and said “hack changes chanceson 2017-05-06
  • splorridge estimated 99% on 2017-05-07
  • two2thehead  judged this prediction right on 2017-05-07.

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