Less Wrong renaissance attempt will seem less (rather than more) successful by end of 2017

Created by davidmanheim on 2017-01-10; known on 2018-01-15; judged wrong by davidmanheim on 2018-08-30.

• davidmanheim estimated 80% on 2017-01-10
• themusicgod1 estimated 49% and said “all depends if they can engage the billion people who are just getting online now. might need internationalizing language” on 2017-01-10
• lukas11 estimated 60% on 2017-01-12
• WilliamBerkeley estimated 75% on 2017-01-13
• daccount10 estimated 80% on 2017-01-14
• davidmanheim   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-08-30.