Scott (of slatestarcodex)'s accuracy / calibration will be about as good as it was last year, not materially worse
- davidmanheim estimated 90% on 2017-01-10
- themusicgod1 estimated 68% on 2017-01-10
- imaxwell estimated 80% on 2017-01-11
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction right on 2018-02-03.
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