Non-test SpaceX rocket will explode in 2017, excluding explosions during controlled descent or landing of reusable stages

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2017-01-11; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2018-01-01.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 55% on 2017-01-11
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.