The 2020 presidential election will be Donald Trump v. Oprah Winfrey.
Created by RandomThinker on 2017-01-16; known on 2020-12-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2020-11-20.
- RandomThinker estimated 28% on 2017-01-16
- RandomThinker said “I made one for 2016, after the 2012 election. Close… but not quite. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/9551” on 2017-01-16
- RandomThinker said “The 2016 one was “The 2016 presidential election will be Jeb Bush v. Hillary Clinton. Yes, again!”” on 2017-01-16
- RandomThinker said “Naming a single person is hard, but I think Oprah is the single highest probability person, other than Trump.” on 2017-01-16
- two2thehead estimated 20% and said “Let’s be conservative.” on 2017-01-16
- themusicgod1 estimated 8% on 2017-01-16
- penten estimated 3% and said “Has Oprah suggested she wants to run?” on 2017-01-17
- splorridge estimated 1% on 2017-01-17
- Michael Dickens estimated 5% on 2017-01-20
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% and said “http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/oprah-winfrey-never-president-after-donald-trump_us_586cfa5ee4b0eb58648b3f52” on 2017-01-20
- PseudonymousUser said “also, really, the Democrats choosing to run her after their 2016 implosion?” on 2017-01-20
- ioannes estimated 1% on 2017-01-20
- jasticE estimated 2% on 2017-01-21
- daccount10 estimated 1% on 2017-01-22
- Tony Boyles estimated 0% and said “P(Trump Runs) * P(Oprah Runs) * P(Oprah Wins Primary) < .005” on 2017-01-24
- aseyfarth estimated 1% and said “No indication that Oprah wants it, Trump will be old and may be even further disliked, combination of many unlikely things” on 2017-01-30
- RandomThinker said “Rumblings… http://www.salon.com/2017/03/01/president-trumps-worse-nightmare-oprah-plots-2020-presidential-run/” on 2017-03-01
- RandomThinker said “Still not that likely yet, but naming 1 person is really hard. Still more likely than you think.” on 2017-03-01
- PseudonymousUser estimated 1% and said “I am not foolish enough to give anything in politics 0% anymore…” on 2017-04-11
- Baeboo estimated 0% on 2017-11-21
- RandomThinker said “Not so impossible now… https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/08/opinion/oprah-2020-president-globes.html” on 2018-01-09
- PseudonymousUser estimated 3% on 2018-01-10
- Baeboo estimated 3% on 2018-01-14
- peter_hurford estimated 0% on 2018-01-15
- Baeboo estimated 2% on 2018-02-07
- ccokeefe estimated 1% on 2018-02-07
- davatk estimated 2% on 2018-04-24
- JTPeterson estimated 1% on 2018-04-24
- pranomostro estimated 3% on 2018-12-08
- Cato estimated 0% on 2019-02-01
- Baeboo estimated 0% on 2019-03-20
- peter_hurford estimated 0% on 2020-02-04
- Cato judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-08.
- Cato judged this prediction unknown on 2020-11-08.
- Cato said “Sorry!” on 2020-11-08
- Baeboo judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-20.