US puts another human footprint on the moon

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-18; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.

• themusicgod1 estimated 9% on 2017-01-18
• penten estimated 15% on 2017-01-19
• ioannes estimated 5% on 2017-01-20
• atomicspacemann estimated 60% and said “This is incredibly broad, including missions through the entire future existence of the US as a nation-state. I interpret “US” as any US citizen here. A multi-national coalition mission would satisfy this as well.” on 2017-01-23
• splorridge said “atomicspaceman, I think the prediction implies that it has to happen before the “known” date to evaluate to true. ” on 2017-01-24
• splorridge said “If that’s the case, then given the fact there is no plan to do this, and there has been no mention of it by politicians or space agencies, I would put the probability very low indeed. Probably below 1%. Can themusicgod1 confirm my interpretation?” on 2017-01-24
• splorridge said “On the other hand, perhaps I’m just not well-informed enough: http://www.space.com/33632-moon-express-private-lunar-landing-approval.html” on 2017-01-24
• themusicgod1 said “yeah this is by 2020-12-31” on 2017-01-24
• themusicgod1 said “also if above space company link ends up being smartasses and 3d prints a foot to make a print or something i’ll mark as true.” on 2017-01-24
• themusicgod1 said “btw like the vast, vast majority of claims I make, I didn’t come up with this. someone thought that the space agencies were gunning for it” on 2017-01-24
• equivrel estimated 10% on 2017-01-29
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.