US puts another human footprint on the moon

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-18; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.

  • themusicgod1 estimated 9% on 2017-01-18
  • penten estimated 15% on 2017-01-19
  • ioannes estimated 5% on 2017-01-20
  • atomicspacemann estimated 60% and said “This is incredibly broad, including missions through the entire future existence of the US as a nation-state. I interpret “US” as any US citizen here. A multi-national coalition mission would satisfy this as well.on 2017-01-23
  • splorridge said “atomicspaceman, I think the prediction implies that it has to happen before the “known” date to evaluate to true. on 2017-01-24
  • splorridge said “If that’s the case, then given the fact there is no plan to do this, and there has been no mention of it by politicians or space agencies, I would put the probability very low indeed. Probably below 1%. Can themusicgod1 confirm my interpretation?on 2017-01-24
  • splorridge said “On the other hand, perhaps I’m just not well-informed enough: 2017-01-24
  • themusicgod1 said “yeah this is by 2020-12-31on 2017-01-24
  • themusicgod1 said “also if above space company link ends up being smartasses and 3d prints a foot to make a print or something i’ll mark as true.on 2017-01-24
  • themusicgod1 said “btw like the vast, vast majority of claims I make, I didn’t come up with this. someone thought that the space agencies were gunning for iton 2017-01-24
  • equivrel estimated 10% on 2017-01-29
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.

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