Terrorism death toll by year end 2017 will be < 30,000
Created by technicalities on 2017-01-23; known on 2017-12-31; judged right by technicalities on 2018-01-03.
- technicalities estimated 80% on 2017-01-23
- themusicgod1 estimated 64% on 2017-01-24
- skinnersboxy estimated 80% on 2017-12-21
- Bruno Parga said “I copy/pasted the 12 monthly Wiki articles on a Google sheet and got a total of 4556 deaths. I didn’t treat the data at all (like, sometimes it’s like “x (+y)”, which probably means immediate + later deaths). Is this enough to judge as correct?” on 2018-01-01
- technicalities said “These guys show 7632. http://storymaps.esri.com/stories/terrorist-attacks/?year=2017 ” on 2018-01-03
- technicalities judged this prediction right on 2018-01-03.