No terrorist attack causes >400 deaths in the less developed world in 2017 (HDI < 0.8).
Created by technicalities on 2017-01-23; known on 2017-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2017-12-29.
- technicalities estimated 70% on 2017-01-23
- themusicgod1 estimated 52% on 2017-01-24
- PseudonymousUser estimated 50% on 2017-08-23
- Bruno Parga said “The October 14 truck bombing in Mogadishu killed at least 512 people.” on 2017-12-29
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2017-12-29.