There will be no public agreement on UK membership of the common market, post-Brexit.

Created by technicalities on 2017-01-23; known on 2017-12-31; judged right by technicalities on 2018-01-03.

• technicalities estimated 90% on 2017-01-23
• Bruno Parga said “What does this prediction mean? Does it mean there is no agreement on whether the UK is in the common market, or that there isn’t an agreement saying it is? If there is an agreement that says it isn’t, is this prediction true or false?” on 2018-01-01
• technicalities said “I mean “the formal negotiations between the UK and the EU will not have produced a treaty document stating that the UK will have comparable access to the EU common market in March 2019 or soon after”. Will withdraw it if you think it’s too vague.” on 2018-01-03
• technicalities   judged this prediction right on 2018-01-03.