Trump silences twitter users from talking about climate change

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-25; known on 2017-12-31; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2017-12-31.

• themusicgod1 estimated 64% on 2017-01-25
• Temeraire said “All or some?” on 2017-01-26
• Ben Doherty estimated 10% and said “I don’t see a mechanism. ” on 2017-01-26
• themusicgod1 said “as many as possible. think shadowbans for those who do.” on 2017-01-27
• pent estimated 5% and said “there are no priors to support this” on 2017-01-31
• themusicgod1 said “Twitter has built in mass censorship capability and is using it. The only question is whether Trump can strongarm them into using it for him.” on 2017-01-31
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2017-01-31
• Michael Dickens estimated 4% on 2017-02-05
• ioannes said “This is poorly specified. How many is “as many as possible”? If he goes to twitter-war against an environmentalist & the environmentalist then stops tweeting, would that qualify? Or would he have to use a technical mechanism to qualify?” on 2017-02-05
• themusicgod1 said “Yeah I’d say that would qualify. If twitter still works for most ppl but no one’s talking about topic X…that would mean something serious happened worth considering” on 2017-02-07
• KnaveOfAllTrades said “@themusicgod1: erm, so you’d mark this true if a single person stopped tweeting after a Twitter exchange with Trump?…” on 2017-03-15
• themusicgod1 said “@KnaveOfAllTrades That depends if discussion on climate change more or less stops after said environmentalist goes quiet, and if the next few people who try are quickly also silenced. I don’t think it’s gonna happen this way though now, yet anyway” on 2017-10-28
• PseudonymousUser said “Judging just by the original prediction text” on 2017-12-31
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-12-31.