Trump silences twitter users from talking about climate change

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-25; known on 2017-12-31; judged wrong by bobpage on 2017-12-31.

  • themusicgod1 estimated 64% on 2017-01-25
  • Temeraire said “All or some?on 2017-01-26
  • Ben Doherty estimated 10% and said “I don’t see a mechanism. on 2017-01-26
  • themusicgod1 said “as many as possible. think shadowbans for those who do.on 2017-01-27
  • pent estimated 5% and said “there are no priors to support thison 2017-01-31
  • themusicgod1 said “Twitter has built in mass censorship capability and is using it. The only question is whether Trump can strongarm them into using it for him.on 2017-01-31
  • bobpage estimated 2% on 2017-01-31
  • Michael Dickens estimated 4% on 2017-02-05
  • ioannes said “This is poorly specified. How many is “as many as possible”? If he goes to twitter-war against an environmentalist & the environmentalist then stops tweeting, would that qualify? Or would he have to use a technical mechanism to qualify?on 2017-02-05
  • themusicgod1 said “Yeah I’d say that would qualify. If twitter still works for most ppl but no one’s talking about topic X…that would mean something serious happened worth consideringon 2017-02-07
  • KnaveOfAllTrades said “@themusicgod1: erm, so you’d mark this true if a single person stopped tweeting after a Twitter exchange with Trump?…on 2017-03-15
  • themusicgod1 said “@KnaveOfAllTrades That depends if discussion on climate change more or less stops after said environmentalist goes quiet, and if the next few people who try are quickly also silenced. I don’t think it’s gonna happen this way though now, yet anywayon 2017-10-28
  • bobpage said “Judging just by the original prediction texton 2017-12-31
  • bobpage  judged this prediction wrong on 2017-12-31.

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