2017 LessWrong codebase migration will happen and will cause massive linkrot that will last for at least one month
Created by Issa Rice on 2017-01-26; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Issa Rice on 2018-01-01.
- Issa Rice estimated 10% on 2017-01-26
- themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2017-01-27
- Vipul Naik estimated 37% and said “See https://www.facebook.com/groups/1362064933805619/permalink/1514773101868134/?comment_id=1514775121867932&reply_comment_id=1515066625172115&comment_tracking=%7B%22tn%22%3A%22R%22%7D (reply by Oliver Habryka to own comment)” on 2017-06-20
- Issa Rice said “http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/pes/lw_20_strategic_overview/dx57” on 2017-09-18
- Issa Rice said “also see http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/per/lw_20_open_beta_starts_920/” on 2017-09-18
- Issa Rice said “feed links like http://lesswrong.com/user/riceissa/overview/.rss are broken at the moment” on 2017-11-03
- Issa Rice said “I think this is wrong, unless the open beta doesn’t count as “codebase migration”” on 2018-01-01
- Issa Rice judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.