Nationwide school voucher system instigated, >70% of public schools effectively privatized, by US midterms.
Created by Temeraire on 2017-01-28; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-11-10.
- Temeraire estimated 12% on 2017-01-28
- Temeraire said “Support for state programs seems much more likely” on 2017-01-28
- Temeraire said “https://medium.com/@RobinMcGhee/predictions-for-the-first-two-years-of-the-trump-presidency-67b07f4c6a0b#” on 2017-01-28
- reubensandwich estimated 2% and said “if such a program passed tomorrow I wouldn’t expect it to be more than 70% complete by midterms” on 2017-01-28
- Temeraire estimated 1% and said “Why on earth did I say 12%?” on 2018-01-09
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2018-11-10.