>2,000 American troops deployed in Syria in 2017
Created by ioannes on 2017-02-09; known on 2018-01-02; judged right by playablecharacter on 2018-01-02.
- ioannes estimated 7% on 2017-02-09
- ioannes said “See https://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/10/us/politics/us-adds-200-troops-syria-isis.html?_r=0” on 2017-02-09
- playablecharacter estimated 18% and said “higher chance than that, ioannes. safe zones n shit” on 2017-02-10
- ioannes said “As far as I can tell, Trump seems to tend towards isolationalist policy.He’s already pretty unpopular. Sending thousands of troops into Syria would not help popularity.” on 2017-02-10
- themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2017-02-10
- playablecharacter said “2000 troops is nothing. besides, what does trump is isolationist mean anyway? if he can say, I teamed up with putin and set up safe zones in syria and helped syria, he will win popularity points. 2000 isnt 5000 or 20000 or 100000.” on 2017-02-10
- playablecharacter said “debka.com or /sg/ syria general threads on /pol/ on 4chan can give a good general idea of the latest happenings in syria.” on 2017-02-10
- Bruno Parga said “The number was about 2,000: https://goo.gl/9cMxma . Seems like, for a period, at any given time the number was as likely to be over that as under. I say judge the prediction right b/c there almost certainly were slightly >2,000 at some point.” on 2018-01-02
- playablecharacter judged this prediction right on 2018-01-02.