By 2017-03-31 Fri, or by 18:00 on the first day of that job, whichever is the earlier: My credence that I was particularly supposed to or expected to print off one or more copies of one or both of those documents rises, at any point, above 66.0%.

Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2017-03-17; known on 2017-04-01; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2017-04-01.

  • KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 43% on 2017-03-17
  • KnaveOfAllTrades said “Docs are the job’s offer letter and employment contract. Current credence is about 42%. Basically a prediction on whether I think they expect me to prepare hard copies of these documents in advance or whether they will provide them on the first day.on 2017-03-17
  • KnaveOfAllTrades changed the deadline from “on 2017-03-21” and changed their prediction from “By 2017-03-31Fri, or by 18:00 on the first day of that job, whichever is the earlier: My credence that I was particularly supposed to or expected to print off one or more copies of one or both of those documents rises, at any point, above 66.0%.” on 2017-03-17
  • KnaveOfAllTrades said “Credence first day is on or before 2017-03-31 Fri is > 95%. Basically just a buffer to ensure this is judgeable.on 2017-03-17
  • KnaveOfAllTrades changed the deadline from “on 2017-03-22on 2017-03-23
  • KnaveOfAllTrades  judged this prediction wrong on 2017-04-01.

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