There exist infinitely many primes no more than 500,000 apart, proven by 2035

Created by JoshuaZ on 2013-05-14; known on 2035-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2013-06-06.

• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2013-05-14
• JoshuaZ said “See also predictions 181686 and 18167” on 2013-05-14
• RandomThinker estimated 55% and said “Very interesting. Why is the gap in his proof @ 70m? Is there a particular significance to ?” on 2013-05-15
• itaibn estimated 80% on 2013-05-16
• JoshuaZ said “RandomThinker, that’s to some extent function how he was focused on finite than getting a specific bound, and around 70m was what you get from making some gross estimates. This will drop fast soon. But not sure how much. ” on 2013-05-16
• JoshuaZ said “See also 18239” on 2013-05-20
• marchdown estimated 98% on 2013-05-26
• holycow81 estimated 40% on 2013-05-27
• JoshuaZ said “Note that Zhang’s bound has now been reduced to slightly over 13 million without much work. A number of first rate people (e.g. Tao) are working on it. ” on 2013-06-04
• JoshuaZ said “Marchdown, what makes you so confident in this prediction? ” on 2013-06-04
• JoshuaZ said “Now down to around 4 million, likely to drop further. See http://polymathprojects.org/2013/06/04/polymath-proposal-bounded-gaps-between-primes/” on 2013-06-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% and said “Updating on fast drop with very simple improvements that haven’t touched the deep machinery yet. ” on 2013-06-04
• JoshuaZ said “http://michaelnielsen.org/polymath1/index.php?title=Bounded_gaps_between_primes Slight details need to be confirmed but it looks right now like this has been done. Much faster than I expected. ” on 2013-06-06
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2013-06-06.