China will fully seize executive power in Hong Kong by 2018.

Created by Nick.dylan on 2017-04-14; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

• Nick.dylan estimated 60% on 2017-04-14
• ioannes estimated 10% and said “@nick.dylan the assessment date of this prediction doesn’t match its phrasing” on 2017-04-14
• Jayson Virissimo said “Is this supposed to mean before 2018 or before 2019?” on 2017-04-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2017-04-14
• themusicgod1 said “what does fully mean here?” on 2017-04-14
• penten estimated 5% on 2017-04-19
• objclone estimated 5% on 2017-12-12
• JoshuaZ said “Defined how? ” on 2017-12-12
• tjwalters@me.com estimated 7% on 2017-12-13
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-01.