More than 10,000 US troops deployed in North Korea by June 1, 2017

Created by ioannes on 2017-04-14; known on 2017-06-02; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-01.

• ioannes estimated 2% on 2017-04-14
• ioannes said “cf https://predictionbook.com/predictions/181953” on 2017-04-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2017-04-15
• two2thehead estimated 1% on 2017-05-11
• PseudonymousUser estimated 3% and said “Even if we went to war today, the logistics of getting that many troops into North Korea would be baffling.” on 2017-05-11
• ioannes said “eh, surprising but not baffling. In Desert Storm, coalition forces started assembling in Saudi Arabia in August 1990, and 150,000 troops were invading Kuwait in February 1991” on 2017-05-11
• ioannes said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_War#Invasion_of_Kuwait” on 2017-05-11
• ioannes said “In the Iraq War, 300,000 coalition forces invaded starting on March 20th 2003, and Bush ran the invasion by Blair on January 31st 2003.” on 2017-05-11
• ioannes said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_War” on 2017-05-11
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-06-01.