terrorist attack in boston on the day of the boston marathon (unsuccessful attempts included)

Created by EloiseRosen on 2017-04-17; known on 2017-04-19; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2017-04-19.

• EloiseRosen estimated 4% on 2017-04-17
• EloiseRosen changed the deadline from “on 2017-04-18” and changed their prediction from “terrorist attack in boston on the day of the boston marathon” on 2017-04-17
• custom estimated 5% on 2017-04-17
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% and said “Unless there’re some self-radicalized terrorists from MA with a weird sense of history, very unlikely.” on 2017-04-17
• two2thehead estimated 5% and said “Wanted to go with 10 percent but I’ll be reckless.” on 2017-04-18
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2017-04-18
• themusicgod1 estimated 12% on 2017-04-18
• EloiseRosen   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-04-19.