Emperor Akihito will abdicate the throne by January 1, 2019.

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2017-04-18; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 70% on 2017-04-18
• PseudonymousUser estimated 75% and said “http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2017/04/21/national/politics-diplomacy/abdication-panel-hands-final-report-abe/” on 2017-04-23
• PseudonymousUser estimated 80% and said ““Japanese media has reported that the likely timing of the abdication will be around the emperor’s 85th birthday next year, in December.” (NYT)” on 2017-06-09
• ioannes estimated 75% on 2017-06-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% and said ““Emperor Akihito announces his intentions to retire on April 30, 2019”” on 2017-12-01
• Baeboo estimated 5% on 2017-12-14
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-01.