The Scottish National Party will win the same number of seats as in 2015.

Created by splorridge on 2017-04-18; known on 2017-06-09; judged wrong by splorridge on 2017-06-09.

• splorridge estimated 70% on 2017-04-18
• themusicgod1 said “same or greater? exact same?” on 2017-04-18
• splorridge said “Exact same. 56/59” on 2017-04-19
• splorridge said “But they don’t have to be the same seats, so if they gain one and lose one (for example) then the prediction evaluates to true.” on 2017-04-19
• themusicgod1 estimated 14% on 2017-04-20
• splorridge said “Interesting. A rare occasion when your prediction differs from ~50%.” on 2017-04-20
• jbeshir estimated 50% on 2017-04-20
• bendini estimated 49% on 2017-04-21
• splorridge estimated 20% on 2017-05-22
• splorridge   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-06-09.