The Scottish National Party will win the same number of seats as in 2015.

Created by splorridge on 2017-04-18; known on 2017-06-09; judged wrong by splorridge on 2017-06-09.

  • splorridge estimated 70% on 2017-04-18
  • themusicgod1 said “same or greater? exact same?on 2017-04-18
  • splorridge said “Exact same. 56/59on 2017-04-19
  • splorridge said “But they don’t have to be the same seats, so if they gain one and lose one (for example) then the prediction evaluates to true.on 2017-04-19
  • themusicgod1 estimated 14% on 2017-04-20
  • splorridge said “Interesting. A rare occasion when your prediction differs from ~50%.on 2017-04-20
  • jbeshir estimated 50% on 2017-04-20
  • bendini estimated 49% on 2017-04-21
  • splorridge estimated 20% on 2017-05-22
  • splorridge  judged this prediction wrong on 2017-06-09.

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