As a normal member of the public, if you visit America (California, etc.) you will be able to order a lift service (Uber, etc.) without a human driver at the wheel, for a price similar to the rates of current lift services, adjusted for inflation.
Created by Emmanuel M. Smith on 2017-05-26; known on 2022-06-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2022-06-03.
- Emmanuel M. Smith estimated 80% on 2017-05-26
- themusicgod1 estimated 51% on 2017-05-26
- Emmanuel M. Smith said “Bet for the amount of 250GBP with powpowsick.” on 2017-05-26
- Emmanuel M. Smith changed the deadline from “on 2022-06-01” and changed their prediction from “As a normal member of the public, if you visit America (California, etc.) you will be able to order a lift service (Uber, etc.) without a human driver at the wheel.” on 2017-05-26
- penten estimated 75% on 2017-05-30
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 55% on 2017-06-07
- tehcrash estimated 55% on 2017-06-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 90% on 2017-08-23
- jcmlima estimated 60% on 2018-07-13
- JoshuaZ estimated 42% and said “Too soon. ” on 2018-07-16
- Emmanuel M. Smith estimated 65% and said “Events such as the Uber death sceanario leads me to believe that there might be legal blocks which will delay my prediction.” on 2019-12-20
- JoshuaZ estimated 44% on 2019-12-24
- Emmanuel M. Smith estimated 60% and said “https://mastodon.social/@mraxilus/103664778676674217” on 2020-02-15
- NickN estimated 10% on 2020-08-16
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction wrong on 2022-06-03.