I will complete my PhD within +-3 months of the scheduled time frame.
Created by Emmanuel M. Smith on 2017-05-26; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Emmanuel M. Smith on 2020-02-15.
- Emmanuel M. Smith estimated 85% on 2017-05-26
- ioannes estimated 33% on 2017-05-27
- davatk estimated 40% on 2018-04-26
- Emmanuel M. Smith estimated 20% and said “The naivety of my younger self is quite endearing. ” on 2019-12-19
- Emmanuel M. Smith judged this prediction wrong on 2020-02-15.
- Emmanuel M. Smith said “Likely going to take another year.” on 2020-02-15