Personal – I eliminate chicken meat from my diet for almost all my meals made either by myself (including instant meals) or by a restaurant or takeaway by June 2018.
- jbeshir estimated 70% on 2017-05-29
- jbeshir said “Will be adjudicated via whether chicken meat was in more than two meals meeting the above criteria within a month around the judgement date.” on 2017-05-29
- ioannes estimated 65% and said “Why not just predict whether you eliminate chicken entirely or not? the “almost all” seems like unnecessary complexity” on 2017-05-29
- themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2017-05-29
- jbeshir said “The odds are considerably different; if I’m doing harm reduction rather than eliminating eggs as well and going completely vegan I’m very likely to still be eating chicken very rarely just to have the full breadth of things to try in my life.” on 2017-05-29
- jbeshir judged this prediction right on 2018-08-12.
- jbeshir judged this prediction wrong on 2018-08-12.
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