PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

Personal – I decide to move at least 80% of my EA donation budget to existential risk charities by June 2018.

Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2018-06-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-06-02.

  • jbeshir estimated 30% on 2017-05-29
  • themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2017-05-29
  • jbeshir   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-06-02.