SpaceX will launch more than 2 rockets this year.
Created by kiba on 2013-05-21; known on 2013-12-31; judged right by kiba on 2013-12-11.
- kiba estimated 55% on 2013-05-21
- kiba said “If the next rocket launch is successful and does not suffer an anomaly that requires lengthy investigation, I will increase my confidence to 99%.” on 2013-05-21
- Dapple estimated 40% on 2013-05-21
- JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2013-05-21
- Tuxedage estimated 50% on 2013-05-23
- PseudonymousUser said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Falcon_9_launches” on 2013-11-16
- PseudonymousUser estimated 92% on 2013-11-16
- kiba estimated 99% on 2013-11-17
- adbge estimated 85% on 2013-11-17
- JoshuaZ estimated 86% on 2013-11-17
- kiba judged this prediction right on 2013-12-11.