[GiveWell will publish its annual report on money moved and web traffic for 2016 ] between September 1 and September 30, 2017
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-07-01; known on 2018-01-03; judged right by Vipul Naik on 2017-09-30.
- Vipul Naik estimated 10% on 2017-07-01
- Vipul Naik estimated 72% and said “See Catherine Hollander comment: http://blog.givewell.org/2017/09/12/september-open-thread/#comment-945048” on 2017-09-14
- peter_hurford estimated 70% on 2017-09-28
- Vipul Naik estimated 45% and said “Less than one working day left now, and GiveWell rarely publishes these things outside of working days.” on 2017-09-29
- Vipul Naik judged this prediction right on 2017-09-30.
- Vipul Naik said “I’m marking this right even though it’s not fully right — they’ve only published an “interim report”.” on 2017-09-30
- Vipul Naik said “http://blog.givewell.org/2017/09/29/interim-update-on-givewells-money-moved-and-web-traffic-in-2016/” on 2017-09-30