Politics, Syria – No reports that the US or UK governments regard as credible of the Syrian government acting in violation of the ceasefire within a week of the ceasefire taking effect, not even if someone else violated it first.

Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-08; known on 2017-07-17; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-07-24.

• jbeshir estimated 20% on 2017-07-08
• jbeshir said “https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/07/us/politics/syria-ceasefire-agreement.html” on 2017-07-08
• jbeshir said “Been humming and harring on this. There are reports of minor violations http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=69714 but US and UK govts report it as “holding” and I have not found a comment from them on alleged violations. Deciding Right on balance.” on 2017-07-24
• jbeshir   judged this prediction right on 2017-07-24.