The scratch marks on my chest will fade after a week.
- Somni estimated 80% on 2017-07-15
- themusicgod1 estimated 51% on 2017-07-15
- erin estimated 92% and said “Assuming the scratches broke the skin, and taking into account Somni’s confidence and priors over her body physiology” on 2017-07-15
- two2thehead estimated 65% on 2017-07-16
- ioannes said “How will this be assessed? Correct if the marks have faded somewhat, or correct only if the marks have disappeared?” on 2017-07-16
- Somni judged this prediction right on 2017-08-02.
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