a commercial aircraft will crash in the US before 2018, resulting in casualties.

Created by michelle.rintjema@bellroy.com on 2017-07-25; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2018-01-01.

• michelle.rintjema@bellroy.com estimated 0% on 2017-07-25
• themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2017-07-25
• Itja estimated 0% on 2017-08-17
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2017-08-23
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% and said “last casualties were on Asiana Airlines Flight 214, 52 months ago” on 2017-10-27
• PseudonymousUser said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_accidents_and_incidents_involving_commercial_aircraft#2017” on 2018-01-01
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.