North Korea is invaded by the end of 2017
Created by playablecharacter on 2017-07-29; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2020-06-07.
- playablecharacter estimated 10% on 2017-07-29
- themusicgod1 estimated 41% on 2017-07-30
- two2thehead said “By whom?” on 2017-07-30
- playablecharacter said “anyone” on 2017-08-01
- playablecharacter said “relevant: http://www.cnn.com/2017/07/31/politics/north-korea-ejection-test-submarine-activity/index.html (this may increase chance of invasion in very near future)” on 2017-08-01
- leo_grint estimated 1% on 2017-08-02
- Serge estimated 6% on 2017-08-02
- Baeboo estimated 10% on 2017-08-03
- iCrown estimated 10% on 2017-08-04
- atomicspaceman estimated 35% on 2017-08-05
- Afforess estimated 1% on 2017-08-07
- Baeboo estimated 4% on 2017-08-08
- ioannes estimated 10% on 2017-08-08
- playablecharacter estimated 15% on 2017-08-08
- Pablo estimated 4% on 2017-08-09
- MultiplyByZer0 estimated 10% on 2017-08-09
- gurgus estimated 1% on 2017-08-09
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 1% on 2017-08-10
- justuseapen estimated 1% on 2017-08-10
- PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2017-08-23
- playablecharacter said “see also https://predictionbook.com/predictions/185196” on 2017-08-28
- peter_hurford estimated 1% on 2017-08-31
- Baeboo estimated 3% on 2017-09-16
- Baeboo estimated 2% on 2017-09-29
- Baeboo estimated 7% on 2017-09-29
- Baeboo estimated 6% on 2017-10-03
- Baeboo estimated 4% on 2017-11-22
- Baeboo estimated 0% on 2017-12-14
- kuudes judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.
- gurgus judged this prediction unknown on 2020-04-20.
- Baeboo judged this prediction wrong on 2020-06-07.