North Korea fires missiles at Guam, at least 1 casualty

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-08-11; known on 2017-08-31; judged wrong by Pablo on 2017-08-31.

• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2017-08-11
• two2thehead said “What about casualties as a result of panic caused by the firing?” on 2017-08-11
• themusicgod1 said “splitting hairs but ok i’ll take that. but for the missiles, the deaths would not happen? then i’ll accept.” on 2017-08-12
• two2thehead estimated 50% and said “Going out on a limb here.” on 2017-08-12
• lwbayes91 estimated 35% on 2017-08-15
• two2thehead estimated 35% on 2017-08-19
• Pablo estimated 12% on 2017-08-21
• Pablo estimated 4% on 2017-08-27
• two2thehead estimated 1% on 2017-08-27
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2017-08-27
• Pablo estimated 0% on 2017-08-30
• Pablo   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-08-31.