Charlottesville car driver shown to be taking money from Soros

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-08-13; known on 2019-07-09; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-11.

• themusicgod1 estimated 9% on 2017-08-13
• themusicgod1 said “will also be marked ‘right’ if car driver was FBI agent or if a direct Soros-driver link can be found” on 2017-08-13
• Alti Camelus estimated 8% and said “What does Soros have to do with the FBI? Without a justification, I would mark just this as ‘wrong’.” on 2017-08-15
• Cato estimated 0% on 2019-03-07
• deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-05-02
• Pablo estimated 0% on 2019-07-01
• Cato said “Since the OP is banned [apparently? see link: https://predictionbook.com/predictions/184615], I’m judging this as false.” on 2019-07-11
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-07-11.
• two2thehead said “@ Cato. Yeah themusicgod1 is banned. But since there is no way to show it on their account page, it’s going to be tough going in the future. I’m sure some update to PB will fix that eventually.” on 2019-07-11
• Cato said “@two2thehead I see. How did you figure out s/he was banned?” on 2019-07-12
• two2thehead said “@Cato. gwern told me on lesswrong IRC. He emailed the predictionbook.com ‘owner’ and confirmed it” on 2019-07-16
• Cato said “@two2thehead: OK, thanks.” on 2019-07-16